One of the Infinity Zones presented by Nicholas Hall at the 30th European CHC Conference in Vienna, medical cannabis has arguably the most potential to transform the consumer healthcare market. However, as Nicholas conceded, the science still has a long way to go and the regulatory path forward remains uncertain.
Nicholas sees the medical cannabis category eventually subdividing into five key segments: 1. Rx (already in existence), 2. Rx-to-OTC switches (expected after 2023), 3. VMS & topicals (2019 is a pivotal year for CBD in the US with CVS and Walgreens putting these supplements on sale), 4. CBD for beauty & food, and 5. Lifestyle Marijuana.
Reporting back from last week’s AESGP meeting in Geneva, our INSIGHT Europe Editor Sarah Carter said: “Touching on CBD, delegates were in agreement with the myriad benefits and the huge growth potential of the market, but less clear on where we stand in terms of regulations.”
Nicholas Hall wrote: Reading Sarah’s notes, I was interested to hear that Scott Melville made the comment, “Our industry knows how to take products from Rx to OTC, but not how to take something from illegal to legal.” Scott is President & CEO of the Consumer Healthcare Products Association in USA, and this idea was first raised in a leadership panel Scott asked me to moderate at the CHPA meeting in March, but it took me some weeks to really understand what was being said. Yes, we know how to make switches; unfortunately, there aren’t any! 2018 was the first year in living memory when new switches added nothing significant to CHC revenues in USA, the home of Switch.
On the other hand, CBD is being legitimised all over the world, including in about half of US states, and all the major drugstore chains have started pilot programmes to sell hemp and other CBD products where it is already legal. Medical cannabis is an express train that is gathering speed every day, with US$11bn of annual sales likely to be added to the global CHC market in the next decade. And that was last month’s forecast – I’m sure we would increase that number if we started afresh. Our industry dare not be left behind.
Medical cannabis will be one of the key topics in our upcoming report, Nicholas Hall’s New Paradigms for CHC 2019: Over the Horizon, written by Nicholas himself! Examine each aspect of the CHC industry in 20 chapters, with a focus on major issues including Regulation, Pharmacy Point-of-Care, M&A, Switch and much more. Nicholas will also unveil the “infinity zones” he has identified as being crucial to the future growth of the industry. In addition to this, you can upgrade your purchase to include a customised in-house presentation or webinar with Nicholas for an additional GB£10,000. To find out more or to place your order, please contact melissa.lee@NicholasHall.com.